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Investment Bank Outlook

Institutional Insights: BNPP Trading The FOMC

Key Messages - Ahead of this week’s FOMC meeting, we recommend taking profits on USD shorts, as we anticipate potential for a near-term counter-trend rally. US equities appear vulnerable to a...

Institutional Insight: Goldman Sachs US Weekly Kick Start 15/9/25

The S&P 500 is approaching a record high, despite signs of a weakening labor market. Job growth has decelerated significantly, dropping from 158,000 in April to just 22,000 in August. In contrast,...

Institutional Insights: Nomura Cross Asset Views 11/09/25

Equities Index Skew remains notably steep due to elevated positioning and net exposure relative to the past year, necessitating downside hedging—particularly in MegaCap Tech and Mag-X. This comes amid...

Institutional Insights: JPMorgan FX Sales & Trading Desk Views

Looking at the recent response of the USD to Friday's NFP figures and the BLS revisions from yesterday, it's clear that while the USD has decreased, the response has been somewhat subdued....

Institutional Insights: Deutsche Bank - Dollar Flow Update

We previously discussed our broad perspectives as we approach year-end a few days ago: the US is currently experiencing a dual negative demand shock (from tariffs) and a supply shock (due to...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs Trade Desk Views on Gold

Goldman Sachs -Desk Thoughts:- As anticipated, following Trump’s comments on August 12th, gold will not be subject to tariffs.- The EFP strength to +$20/oz (December matched) likely stemmed from...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs NFP Scenario Analysis 5/9/25

Goldman Sachs: NFP Preview   From GS Research: We estimate that nonfarm payrolls increased by 60k in August, falling short of the consensus expectation of 75k.  - We anticipate the unemployment rate...

Institutional Insights: Citadel Global Market Insights Update 4/9/25

September is historically the weakest month for equities, with volatility rising into option expiration and retail participation fading. With systematic strategies (CTAs, Vol-Control, Risk Parity)...

Institutional Insights: UBS Market Internals Update

UBS Market Internal Weekly ReportKey Themes:  - SPX faces limited upside potential versus significant downside risks.  - Continued outperformance of IWM over QQQ.  - New risk factor to monitor: SPX...